January 24, 2007
Australia's tight labour market proving costly for Alcan expansion
MONTREAL
Challenging market conditions have forced Alcan Inc. to raise its cost estimate for upgrading its Gove alumina refinery in northern Australia for the second time in four months— increasing the bill to US$2.3 billion.
The major aluminum firm had initially pegged the cost at $1.5 billion, but that estimate was increased to about $1.9 billion last September.
In addition to increasing the project’s cost, Alcan has delayed its startup date until the second quarter of this year, from the first quarter.
“Despite extremely tight market conditions in Australia for labour and materials, the project will deliver positive results by significantly improving Alcan’s cost position and capacity in alumina,” stated Jacynthe Cote, CEO of Alcan’s bauxite and alumina division.
The refurbishments will increase the refinery’s capacity to 3.8 million tonnes a year from 1.8 million tonnes in 2006.
The new timeline will see expanded production ramp-up starting progressively during the second quarter of 2007.
The delay is a disappointment, said several analysts, but should have little financial impact on the aluminum giant.
“Relative to the size of the company, I think it’s unfortunate but I don’t think it’s that critical,” said Ian Howat of National Bank Financial.
He said these kinds of delays are happening to many companies in the hot Australian labour market. There are too few workers spread out among many large-scale projects.
Lawrence Smith of Blackmont Capital said the significant cost overrun will lead some to question whether the controls are in place to manage a large-scale project.
“The answer is probably no,” he said in an interview. “We’re in a fairly unique time period here.”
Last September, Alcan warned of a 20 to 25 per cent boost to the project’s cost because of a tight construction market and a worldwide commodities boom.
It had claimed to have offset the cost increase with “more innovative strategies.”
Most plant components were fabricated and pre-assembled in low-cost countries and shipped to Gove for installation.
CANADIAN PRESS
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